The Volatility Curse by Rick van der Ploeg

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The Volatility Curse

Author : Rick van der Ploeg

Publisher : SSRN

Published : 2013

ISBN-10 :

ISBN-13 :

Number of Pages : 35 Pages

Language : en

Descriptions The Volatility Curse

The volatility of unanticipated output growth in income per capita is detrimental to long-run development, controlling for initial income per capita, population growth, human capital, investment, openness and natural resource dependence. This effect is significant and robust over a wide range of specifications. We unravel the effects of volatility by opening the black box and conditioning the variance of growth shocks on several country characteristics. Natural resource dependence, physical and institutional barriers to trade and associated policy shocks increase volatility sharply and harm growth through this indirect channel. The robust indirect effect of natural resources through volatility trumps any direct effects on economic development, even if natural resource dependence is measured net of extraction costs. Financial development appears to mitigate the harmful causes of volatility. Our panel data estimation confirms our cross-country results, but we also offer evidence that well developed financial systems amplify the effect of short-term terms-of-trade volatility on macroeconomic volatility.

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Results The Volatility Curse

(PDF) Institutions and the Volatility Curse - - Therefore, the overall evidence in Table 4 suggests that the source of the resource curse is the volatility of rents as opposed to resource abundance. Further evidence for the negative growth e¤ect of the volatility channel is provided in van der Ploeg and Poelhekke (2010) and Cavalcanti et al. (2011b). Regressions [1:3] and [1:4] aim to test

The Volatility Curse: Exogenous Shocks and ... - Cambridge Core - The Volatility Curse: Exogenous Shocks and Representation in Resource-Rich Democracies. By Daniela Campello and Cesar Zucco. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2021. 260p. 39.99 paper. - Volume 19 Issue 3

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(PDF) Volatility And The Natural Resource Curse. - ResearchGate - Abstract and Figures. We provide cross-country evidence that rejects the traditional interpretation of the natural resource curse. First, growth depends negatively on volatility of unanticipated

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Institutions and the Volatility Curse - SSRN - Abstract. This paper revisits the resource curse paradox and studies the impact of resource rents and their volatility on economic growth under varying institutional quality. Using five-year non-overlapping observations between 1970 and 2005 for 112 countries, we find that while resource rents enhance real output per capita, their volatility

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Contents - The Volatility Curse - The Volatility Curse Exogenous Shocks and Representation in Resource-Rich Democracies Buy print or eBook[Opens in a new window] Book contents Frontmatter Dedication Contents List of Figures List of Tables Acknowledgments 1 Introduction: Representation in Volatile Economies 2 Economic Vote, Exogenous Shocks, and Representation 3

The Volatility Curse - Cambridge Core - 'The Volatility Curse is a path-breaking book illuminating the economic conditions that reduce governments’ incentives for political accountability in Latin America but with lessons for the rest of the developing world

The Volatility Curse | David Rockefeller Center for Latin - The Volatility Curse, written in collaboration with Daniela Campello has just been published by Cambridge University Press. In this book, they examine the consequences of voters' misattribution of responsibility for economic outcomes, particularly in countries reliant on commodity exports and foreign investment flows, and how this prevents

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The Volatility Curse - 978-1-108-84179-5 — The Volatility Curse Daniela Campello , Cesar Zucco Frontmatter More Information © in this web service Cambridge University Press The Volatility Curse The Volatility Curse examines the conditions under which economic voting can (and cannot) function as a mechanism of democratic